Although the Trump transition is well underway, the Biden administration made news in the national security space by announcing significant new export restrictions on semiconductor equipment and technology destined for the People’s Republic of China (PRC). On December 2, 2024, the Department of Commerce’s (Commerce) Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) announced a package of two rules taking aim at the PRC’s ability to produce advanced semiconductors. The rules—an Interim Final Rule and a Final Rule—include:
The new package of rules is designed to limit the PRC’s ability to indigenize the production of advanced technologies—such as advanced-node integrated circuits (ICs) and the equipment used to produce them—that the U.S. government believes pose a substantial risk to U.S. national security. In announcing the new restrictions, the Biden administration expressed concerns that the PRC uses these advanced technologies to modernize its military, improve its weaponry, and expand its surveillance capabilities, allowing it to further infringe on human rights.
Although these rules focus on the PRC, the nationwide restrictions and license requirements generally apply to all countries in Commerce Country Group D:5 which include all U.S. Arms Embargoed Countries, including the PRC, as has been the case since the October 2023 semiconductor and SME rules were enacted.
The restrictions include the following:
Final Rule Expands Entity List. The Final Rule adds 140 companies to the Entity List (and revises 14 other entries), including semiconductor fabricators and investment companies in the PRC, as well as entities in Japan, Singapore, and South Korea that BIS found to be “acting at the behest of Beijing to further the PRC’s advanced chip goals.” Ten firms added to the Entity List are identified as “contributing to the efforts of Huawei” to further the PRC’s advanced-node IC production capability. By virtue of their addition to the Entity List, the export of items subject to the EAR to these entities is prohibited unless licensed by BIS, applications for which will be reviewed under a presumption of denial. The final rule also designates nine of the entities being added and seven of the entries being modified as entities for which entity-specific restrictions involving foreign-produced items apply.
The Biden administration touted these new restrictions as the “culmination” of its “targeted approach” to secure the nation’s critical technologies and to limit the PRC’s ability to develop such technologies itself. The administration’s so-called “small yard, high fence” strategy seeks to place tough restrictions on a limited group of sensitive technologies while otherwise allowing economic relations between U.S. and PRC entities.
The December 2, 2024 announcement is the latest Biden administration development in this space, as BIS announced a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) in September 2024 that would ban the import or sale of connected vehicles and components designed or manufactured by entities connected to the PRC or Russia (covered here). And in October 2024, the U.S. Department of the Treasury also published a rule prohibiting certain outbound investments to China (covered here), focusing on advanced semiconductors, quantum technologies, and AI systems. In the semiconductor space, this is now the third year in a row that BIS has issued significant new and enhanced rules, following major rulemakings in October 2022 and October 2023.
The PRC responded quickly to the Biden administration’s recent action by announcing new export controls of its own on materials crucial for producing semiconductors and electric vehicles batteries.
The incoming Trump administration has indicated that it is likely to continue a “tough on China” stance concerning national security and trade, which is not surprising given the bipartisan support of such policies. Many presumptive nominees for Trump’s Cabinet have indicated hawkish views towards China, including the nominee for Secretary of State, Senator Marco Rubio, who issued a report claiming U.S. export controls have failed to keep the country’s semiconductor technology from China’s reach. Similarly, Jamieson Greer, the nominee for U.S. trade representative, testified in May 2024 to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission that Congress should expand export controls on China to include the aircraft and transportation equipment industries.[1]
This most recent round of export restrictions concerning China once again puts the AI, quantum computing, and semiconductor industries on alert that their fields are top of mind for trade officials. The pace of changing restrictions is unlikely to slow even as the administration changes hands early next year, and this is a space to watch closely as the Trump administration settles in.
[1] https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/2024-05/Jamieson_Greer_Testimony.pdf.
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